Philosophy of Errors

[Ivan: the first of the two opening paragraphs, in your own words: what this book is about.]

[Ivan: the second opening paragraph: how it is written and what a reader can do here.]

The book in progress

No section of the book is written yet. Sections appear here as numbered drafts, each the week it is written.

Messi misses more than one penalty in five. Why do you almost never crash your car? Draft 2 · 2026-10-16 · Established: the figures, which come from the sources listed at the end (checked 2026-10-16) · Not established: the recovery-window idea is the author's argument, not a tested result; the AI-agent part states a working hypothesis and open questions, not findings · agent-drafted, not adopted

Essays stand outside the book: they argue, teach and tell the stories of past failures, and they label speculation as speculation.

2026-10-16: Messi misses more than one penalty in five. Why do you almost never crash your car?, draft 2 Essay · After a review of facts and project rules: several figures and their caveats corrected (Messi's rate, the near-crash and inattention figures), Diane Vaughan credited for the normalization of deviance, METR's note on harder tasks added, and the margin argument made conditional.

[Ivan: one or two sentences about yourself for the home page]

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